關(guān)鍵字：電子業(yè) 智能家居
此次調(diào)查旨在了解產(chǎn)品設(shè)計的演變，并希望能勾畫一份2020年的未來藍(lán)圖，共收到了570份有效回復(fù)。
這些回復(fù)中最一致的認(rèn)識是，突破性技術(shù)將產(chǎn)生更強大而智能的產(chǎn)品，以及OEM在產(chǎn)品設(shè)計及工藝設(shè)計上對合同制造商的依賴將日益增強?；诔鞘谢蜕鐣悄芑?4.4％的受訪者認(rèn)為未來，智能家居對電子制造和組件產(chǎn)業(yè)影響最大。而由于產(chǎn)業(yè)日益自動化，智能汽車和智能家居在產(chǎn)品設(shè)計和驗證階段的重要性也將越來越強。
電子產(chǎn)品的設(shè)計、功能以及元件尺寸有望得到迅速的發(fā)展。這些變革也將直接影響制造技術(shù)。58.2％的受訪者一致認(rèn)為，基于人工智能的產(chǎn)品將是未來10年產(chǎn)業(yè)發(fā)展的標(biāo)準(zhǔn)。新能源和智能電網(wǎng)也將對2020年前的綠色和節(jié)能技術(shù)產(chǎn)生至關(guān)重要的作用。
而如下公司將在未來獲得較大的發(fā)展：虛擬化、移動應(yīng)用、實時通信、電子診斷/監(jiān)護(hù)以及逐漸模糊人類和機器區(qū)別界限的產(chǎn)品（比如醫(yī)療機器人等）。
能否抓住下一個大變革的關(guān)鍵在于能否準(zhǔn)確把握價值點以及消費者行為的改變。需要注意的是，這種把握的效益和效果會因行業(yè)不同而大有不同。
領(lǐng)先公司和業(yè)界思想領(lǐng)袖都深刻意識到技術(shù)創(chuàng)新以及“市場先入者”策略的影響。能否準(zhǔn)確判定快速增長的產(chǎn)品或領(lǐng)域，并進(jìn)行適當(dāng)?shù)馁Y源配置（包括人才和資金）對成功至關(guān)重要。而是否能夠進(jìn)行跨產(chǎn)業(yè)學(xué)習(xí)成功經(jīng)驗的能力——即復(fù)制其它行業(yè)成功經(jīng)驗的能力——也將對產(chǎn)業(yè)競爭態(tài)勢起到重要作用。
最后，想著重說明的是，經(jīng)濟狀況的發(fā)展趨勢仍未確定，未來的藍(lán)圖勾畫需要各界參與。很期待您來分享您的看法。您認(rèn)為當(dāng)前經(jīng)濟趨勢將如何影響不同產(chǎn)業(yè)的研發(fā)和創(chuàng)新？以及這又將對電子產(chǎn)業(yè)供應(yīng)鏈產(chǎn)生何種影響呢？
The Road Ahead: How Electronics Is Evolving
Lavanya Rammohan, Research Analyst, Electronics & Contract Manufacturing Practice, Frost & Sullivan
The future of the electronics industry involves smart homes, smart factories, green IT, cloud computing, robotics, intuitive consumer products, smart and artificial intelligence-based production, nanomaterials, and flexible electronics, among other emerging business trends, according to a survey recently conducted by Frost & Sullivan and EBN.
The survey strived to understand the evolution of product design and provide some roadmaps for 2020. The survey had 570 respondents, whose responses were interesting, to say the least.
The underlying themes were the development of more powerful and intelligent products with disruptive technology and an increased reliance by OEMs on contract manufacturers to support product design and design for manufacturability. As urbanization increases and we head toward a smart society, 34.4 percent of respondents picked smart homes as the product or trend that will have the greatest impact on electronics manufacturing and connected devices. As the industry transitions toward increasing automation, smart cars and smart homes have also made significant inroads into the design and validation stages.
Electronics product design, functionality, and component sizes are expected to evolve rapidly. These innovations will have a direct impact on manufacturing techniques. A resounding 58.2 percent of respondents agreed that smart and artificial intelligence-based production will be the norm within the next 10 years. Power generation and smart grids will also play a vital role in defining green and energy-efficient manufacturing techniques by 2020.
Companies will benefit from things like increased virtualization, mobile applications, real-time communications, advances in diagnostics and monitoring, and the blurring of the lines between human and machine interfaces (medical robotics, etc.)
The ease of understanding the next big innovation lies in the ability to capture the value and magnitude of the impact on consumers. Additionally, the benefits and effects will vary by industry.
Companies and thought leaders are well aware of the impact of technology innovation and a first-to-market strategy. The ability to spot the fastest-growth products/segments and allocate the right resources (talent and capital) will have a great impact on success. And cross-pollination -- the ability to transfer best-practices from one industry to another -- will play a vital role in the bid for competitive positioning.
It is important to note that, with economic uncertainty ahead, product roadmap development requires a different level of commitment. We would like to hear from you. How do you think the current economic trends will shape R&D and innovation across different industries? How will this impact the electronics supply chain?
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